2:28 PM EDT Tuesday June 27, 2006RECENT INFORMATION FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATES THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. WHILE THERE IS A SMALL AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS ON ITS EAST SIDE... THE SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION... AND IS THEREFORE NOT A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS TIME. THE AIRCRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.
THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL REGIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA... VIRGINIA... AND THE DELMARVA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM TODAY AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED WITH LITTLE NOTICE. EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT FORM INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE... IT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
UPDATE: 4:30pm CDT
THE SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE INVESTIGATED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT EARLIER TODAY MOVED INLAND NEAR MOREHEAD CITY BEFORE IT COULD DEVELOP A CLOSED CIRCULATION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY. HOWEVER... THIS SYSTEM IS STILL PRODUCING WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS AND ADJACENT WATERS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND INTO NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
(Above & Satellite Imagery courtesy of NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL)
Note: For additional information specific to your area... please consult products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office.
(Will update if needed)
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