SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
TUESDAY, JULY 25, 2006
5:30pm EDT

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC - CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS BETWEEN EDINBURG AND HARLINGEN IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS GENERATING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS... THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP... BUT ONLY IF THE SYSTEM CENTER MOVES OR REFORMS OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS... THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND REGION AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY... ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
Forecaster - Stewart
(Above and Satellite Imagery courtesy of NOAA/National Weather Service- National Hurricane Center- Tropical Prediction Center)

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